A look ahead after the weekend presidential primaries and caucuses
By Dave Andrusko
Donald Trump
I only saw portions of last night’s fiery debate between
pro-abortionists Hillary Clinton and Democratic Socialist Sen. Bernie
Sanders (Vt.) but enough to realize that no matter how far Sanders may
be behind in the delegate count, there is no reason to believe he won’t
contest his party’s presidential nomination all the way up until the
July 25–28 convention in Philadelphia.
Meanwhile, electorally, over the weekend, Sanders won in Nebraska,
Kansas, and Maine while Clinton won delegate-rich Louisiana. Clinton has
1,130 delegates to Sanders’ 499 delegates. A total of 2,383 delegates
is needed to win the nomination.
Sen. Ted Cruz
On the Republican side front runner Donald Trump carried Kentucky and
Louisiana. Texas Senator Ted Cruz won in Maine and Kansas. Florida Sen.
Marco Rubio finished first in Puerto Rico. What does that mean going
ahead?
Sen. Marco Rubio
Meet the Press and the NBC Political Unit produces a morning
briefing, “First Read.” Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, and Carrie Dann looked
at the current delegate count for Trump, Cruz, Rubio, and Ohio Gov. John
Kasich
[www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/first-read-why-trump-s-delegate-lead-could-be-narrower-n533216].
Gov. John Kasich
They then spun out alternative scenarios that take into account the
March 12 voting in Michigan, Mississippi, Idaho, Hawaii, and the
District of Columbia and the crucial March 15 contests which includes
such winner-take-all states as Florida (Rubio’s home state) and Ohio
(Kasich’s home state). The context is winning the 1,237 delegates needed
to secure the GOP nomination.
Although these are not absolutely fixed numbers, according to First
Read, Mr. Trump currently has 392 delegates; Sen. Cruz 305; Sen. Rubio
153; and Gov. Kasich 35.
Here are three graphs published this morning. Again, they are not predictions, they are “what-ifs”:
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